Netherlands telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2023–2028

05 February 2024 | Research

Forecast report | PPTX and PDF (5 slides); Excel | European Core Forecasts

"The migration to fibre in the Netherlands will drive broadband retail revenue growth, but this growth will be affected by price competition between multiple fibre players in the market."

Analysys Mason provides detailed 5-year forecasts of the telecoms market in Western Europe. This report focuses on operators’ core telecoms services in the Netherlands.

This report and the associated data annex provide:

a 5-year forecast of mobile and fixed KPIs for the Netherlands
an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service
an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics
a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.

Geographical coverage

Region modelled		Country modelled individually
Western Europe (WE)		Netherlands

Key performance indicators

Connections

Mobile:

total (handset plus mobile broadband, excluding IoT), total including IoT
handset: smartphone, basic, smartphone share of handsets
mobile broadband
total, handset and broadband: 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
business, residential
total and handset: prepaid, contract and prepaid share
IoT
penetration: total, prepaid, contract, handset, smartphone, mobile broadband, IoT

Fixed:

voice: narrowband, VoBB, dial-up
broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, gigabit-capable connections
business, residential
dedicated connections
penetration (business sites and households): voice, broadband (ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, other technologies)

Pay TV

operator, traditional
business, residential

Traffic

Outgoing minutes (fixed and mobile), MoU
Cellular data and messaging traffic

Network-independent metrics

GDP
Population
Households
Business sites
Exchange rates

Service revenue

Mobile:

total
share of GDP
per capita per month
residential, business
prepaid, contract, prepaid share
2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)

Fixed:

total (retail plus wholesale)
share of GDP
per capita per month

Retail revenue

Mobile:

total
share of GDP
per capita per month
business, residential
per GB
2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
voice, voice per minute
data, data per GB
handset: total, voice, messaging, data, prepaid, contract, prepaid share
mobile broadband
IoT connectivity

Fixed:

total
share of GDP
per capita per month
business, residential
voice: narrowband, VoBB
dedicated connections
broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, as a share of fixed retail revenue

ICT services

Pay TV

operator, traditional
business, residential

Wholesale revenue

Mobile
Fixed

ASPU

Mobile:

total
voice
data
mobile broadband
IoT
handset: total, prepaid, contract, voice, messaging, data
business, residential

Fixed:

voice
broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies
business, residential

ARPU

Mobile:

total
prepaid, contract
business, residential
2G, 3G, 4G, 5G

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European Core Forecasts

Analysys Mason's European Core Forecasts research programme provides detailed 5-year forecasts of the fixed and mobile telecoms markets for 32 key countries in the developed world, and two major regions: Central and Eastern Europe, and Western Europe.

Jonathan Daniel

Analyst

Netherlands telecoms market: trends and forecasts 2023–2028

Author

Jonathan Daniel

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