Government and military satellite communications: trends and forecasts 2023–2033

12 February 2025 | Research

Sarah Halpin

Forecast report | PPTX and PDF (14 slides); Excel | Government and Military Space


"Non-GEO activity is making its mark and players in the government and military satellite communications market must innovate and be flexible if they are to remain competitive."

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This report evaluates and forecasts the trends and developments associated with revenue and growth within the government and military satellite communications market during 2023–2033.

Governments have increased defence-based budgets and are looking more to the space and satellite industry to help to achieve their defence-readiness goals. This report assesses the commercial satellite communications market, providing an overview of current activity, upcoming opportunities and considerations for interested players. 

Coverage

  • 10-year forecast of the revenue opportunity in the commercial government and military satellite communications market.
  • Analysis of the trends that drive growth within each market segment and region.​
  • Assessment of challenges to revenue capture, maintenance and growth.​
  • Evaluation of the potential for market capture by incoming non-geostationary Earth orbit (GEO) capacity.
  • Recommendations for players that are engaged with, or are interested in, this dynamic market.

Segmentation

Vertical

Government and military commercial market

Variables
  • In-service units
  • Capacity demand
  • Capacity revenue
  • Service revenue
  • Retail average revenue per unit (ARPU)
Applications or use cases
  • Land mobile (communications on the move (COTM))
  • Land mobile (communications on the pause (COTP))
  • Maritime
  • Aeronautical (manned)
  • Aeronautical (unmanned)
  • Bulk leasing
Frequency bands

FSS

  • C-band
  • Ku-band
  • Ka-band
  • X-band

HTS

  • GEO-HTS C-band
  • GEO-HTS Ku-band
  • GEO-HTS Ka-band
  • Non-GEO HTS
Geographical regions
  • Asia
  • Europe (EU)
  • Latin America (LAM)
  • North America (NAM)
  • Middle East and Africa (MEA)
  • Atlantic Ocean (AOR)
  • Indian Ocean (IOR)
  • Pacific Ocean (POR)
  • Arctic and Antarctic (ARC)
  • Worldwide

Questions answered

  • What are the trends and developments that will affect the government and military satellite communications market during 2023–2033?​
  • What should service providers and satellite operators do to engage with new business opportunities?​
  • How will conflicts in Europe, the Middle East and other regions that are experiencing increased concerns about instability affect activity and opportunity in this market?
  • What is the impact of incoming non-GEO capacity and how does multi-orbit interest factor into market growth?

Who should read this report

  • Satellite operator and service provider strategy teams can use this report to understand where, when and why market demand is developing. ​
  • Equipment vendors and product management teams that are responsible for market focus and product marketing teams can benefit from understanding revenue growth strategies and targeted market engagement​.
  • Current and interested investors can assess the government and military satellite communications opportunity.
  • Government and military organisations will be equipped to understand market status, drivers, size and movement.​

Companies mentioned

Eutelsat, Inmarsat, Intelsat, Northrup Grumman, Viasat, SES, Space42, Starlink

USD8995

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Author

Sarah Halpin

Analyst, space and satellite, expert in government and military space